Wednesday, 26 October 2016

Morocco to win, Malta to terribly fail | Odds #1 | RoESC 04, Kosovo

As the RoESC 04 is being more and more closer, it is time to calculate betting odds for songs from the edition, that can move us a bit closer to better predict the results. Who will win by odds? And who will dramatically fail? How will hosting country place if we would obey these odds?



Estimated placement
Country
Betting odd
Song
Player
1.
Morocco
2.29
The Greatest
ZerinaCaderia
2.
Czech republic
2.727
Alarm
Viscovim
3.
France
3.09
Sound of Silence
Blueeye43
4.
Switzerland
3.138
Love Me Right
MargaretteWaldorf
5.
Serbia
3.275
Ain't No Other Man
MalgorzataJamrozy
6.
Belgium 
3.344
Ta Fête
Bxluga
7.
Spain
3.405 St. Patrick FallOutMexican
8.
Estonia
3.576
All Night Long
Estonya
9.
Italy
3.632
Say You Won't Let Go
ChuckleGaming
10.
Sweden
3.876
Amazing
PikyoSeoul20
11.
Denmark
3.958
I Went Too Far
HttpDiamxnd
12.
Hungary
4.132
Timebomb
iiUniqueMelxdies
13.
Kosovo
4.208
Oceans
Vecu
14.
San Marino
4.615
Me the Machine
Oof789
15.
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4.695
Neke se Noći ne Spavaju
Mateomikic
16.
Russia
4.983
Luli
xMeowMuffins
17.
The Netherlands
5.0
L Square
Vesuerlo
18.
Norway
5.505
Bombo
Aprestoi
19.
Azerbaijan
5.535
Miracle
iCola
20.
Lithuania
5.703
Xiat
RyanPokemonFan
21.
Croatia
6.036
Buka Galama
KatarinaFromCroatia
22.
Luxembourg
6.834
Gratis
CevinMarkovic
23.
Albania
8.21
Uno Momento
Amorex30 & LewisBumHead
24.
Malta
12.245
Werqin' Girl
Weathernow10

The best betting odds has currently Morocco - 2.29 is really good and Morocco takes the lead in our chart. Will ZerinaCaderia with The Greatest win? In reviews, Morocco got score 10/10! And in blog poll and strawpoll, they managed to get really many votes. Does it mean, that Morocco is favorite #1 and can think on a win? We'll know it soon.

Not so far from Morocco is Czech republic. This country has betting odds under 3 too, concretely 2.727. Will it be another 2nd place for Czech republic? A bit of history now: They started in edition #02 with 17th place. They were underrated by right in #03, but I Stand shockingly got 2nd place. Will they get another silver? Will they be a little step by winning again?

France is on third place surprisingly for me. Their betting odd is 3.09 - truth is, that it goes more and more low. Opposite of this is Switzerland. Song Love Me Right has extremely growing popularity and it actually can attack Morocco soon with this rocket tempo.

Serbia is a surprise for me too. At first it was really overlooked by fans, but surprisingly in a while, it started to have really fast growing popularity - not that fast as Switzerland, but still, fast. On the other way, Belgium has fine odds, even more if we look on the fact that Bxluga is debutting this edition... Spain's odd is quite dissapointment for me. Odd 3.405 is fine, but this song has really loud fanbase, so one would expect, that they can attack with St. Patrick top 3. By odds, they will even miss top 5.

Estonia has odd 3.576, what will confirm Estonia's more and more low popularity - in second edition, they were 2nd, last time they were 4th, 8th would be big fall for them. Italy is a big questionnaire for me, because they are actually high by this odds, but the song is not for everyone, so... it wil depend on voting and predicting is hard in this case.

Sweden got average score in reviews but still, they can close top 10. Their odd for 1st place is
3.876. 

Hosting country, Kosovo, will be by their odd 13th. It will be fine, but... they are hosts and won the last edition. They have just bad song or Kosovo is dark horse of the edition and can surprise. Again.

The last three spots should split between Luxembourg, Malta and Albania. Luxemburg with easily forgetable song Gratis has odd 6.834. Albania's odds are almost 2 behind, 8.21 is really not something good and just enough for pre-last. But it is nothing when you compare it to Malta's odd. Their weird experiment should be last, their odds are terrible 12.245! That is 10 behind the first Morocco. Malta's win would just take breath to everyone...

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Do you want to take part on the odds and have power to change them? Vote in the blog poll on the side and in poll HERE. See you in the next article soon. 
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